基于粒子群算法的泄漏源强反算研究论文.pdfVIP

基于粒子群算法的泄漏源强反算研究* 1,2 2 2 1 2 张久凤 ，姜春明 ，王正 ，贾星兰 ，袁纪武 (1 中国石油大学（华东）机电工程院 ，青岛 266555； 2 中国石油化工股份有限公司青岛安全工程研究院化学品安全控制国家重点实验室，青岛 266071) 摘要：危险化学品泄漏事故中泄漏源强是预测事故后果的主要影响参数，是事故应急救援决策的基础。本 文将粒子群优化算法应用于危险化学品泄漏源强的反算中，以期在化学品泄漏事发过程中快速准确的得出 泄漏源源强数据。根据高斯烟羽扩散模型和下风向浓度测量数据，将计算浓度与测量浓度的误差平方和作 为目标函数，利用粒子群算法来确定源强；并通过模拟的测量浓度数据进行算法有效性验证，结果表明粒 子群算法应用于泄漏源强的反算是可行的，此外还针对粒子群算法中粒子群规模N 、学习因子c 、惯性权 重w 对结果的影响进行了探讨。 关键词： 泄漏事故；源强；反算；粒子群算法 中图分类号：TQ 028.8 文献标识码：A Back-calculation research of the leakage source intensity based on the particle swarm algorithm 1, 2 2 2 1 2 Zhang Jiufeng , Jiang Chunming , Wang Zheng , Jia Xinglan , Yuan Jiwu 1 ( College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao 266555, China; 2State Key Laboratory of Chemicals Safety Control,Qingdao Safety Engineering Institute, SINOPEC ，Qingdao ， 266071,China) Abstract ：In the leakage accident of hazardous chemicals, the leakage source intensity is the main parameter for accident consequence prediction and the basis of emergency-rescue decision. The particle swarm optimization algor ithm is applied to the back-calculation of leakage source intensity in this paper. With Gaussian plume dispersion model and downwind measurement data, particle swarm optimization algorithm which considers error square sum of calculated concentration and measured concentration as the objective function is us ed to invert the source intensity. The simulation results demonstrate that the particle swarm optimization algorithm could be used to get the leakage source quickly and accurately. Furthermore, the influence of particle swarm scale, the stud