王灏,王爱科,杨青巍,丁玄同核工业西南物理研究院.pptVIP

* 王灏，王爱科，杨青巍，丁玄同 核工业西南物理研究院 wanghao@swip.ac.cn HL-2A装置上关于破裂预测的一些尝试 第十三届全国等离子体科学技术会议 2007, 8, 20-22, 成都 核工业西南物理研究院 王灏，等. 第十三届全国等离子体科学技术会议 2007, 8, 20-22, 成都 Introduction Disruption in a tokamak is a sudden loss of confinement and subsequent transfer of plasma energy to the surrounding structure component. The force and heat loads, induced by disruption, may damage the machine walls and support structure. Thus, disruption prediction at a sufficient early time is important for taking measures to avoid the disruption or mitigate the unavoidable ones. Physically, disruptions have different causes, most of which have been identified but whose dynamics is not known in detail. For instance, the relations of various instabilities to disruptions remain an active research area. Therefore, some new methods, includes ANN method and other methods, are designed to forecast the plasma disruption. In our works, we have tried two methods, these are ANN method and MHD method. What is ANN ANN has a complex structure, including many neurons and layers, and Signals transmitted to the neural network through the input layer. By calculating, the output of Layer 1 has been got, and then, the output of Layer 1 became the input of Layer 2. This process can be repeated until a final output has been got. How to train an ANN Our ANN model and database When we trainning, the output have only two states: 0 and 1. When we discharge, the plasma will have two different states, stable state and unstable state. When unstable, we set the standard output equals 0, and Correspondingly, when stable, the output eaquals 1. Therefore, if the output is less than 0 or close to 0, we must be carefully. Because This means that the plasma may disrupte. 13 experimental diagnostic signals Six Mirnov probes, one H-alpha line intensity, one channel of Soft X ray detector (SXR), one line integrated density ne, o