环境规制对产业升级路径的动态影响的研究.pdfVIP

环境规制对产业升级路径的动态影响研究 肖兴志， 李少林 （东北财经大学产业组织与企业组织研究中心,辽宁大连 116025） [摘要] 环境规制主要通过需求、技术创新和国际贸易传导机制等三种途径影响产业升 级，本文对上述产业升级路径的传导机制影响机理进行了理论分析，并采用1998—2010 年 我国30 个省的动态面板数据实证研究了环境规制强度对产业升级路径的影响。动态面板估 计结果表明，我国总体环境规制强度对产业升级的方向和路径产生了扭曲性的负面影响；而 分区域的研究结果则表明，中部地区环境规制强度与产业升级的关系并不显著，西部地区环 境环境规制强度的提高能够促进产业升级的加快，东部地区的环境规制强度对产业升级的负 面影响占据了主要地位。根据以上研究结论，我国在环境规制强度的选择上应考虑区域间的 差异性，并提高城镇化水平、加强人力资本建设和推进市场化改革，从而为环境规制与产业 升级的协同双赢提供必要的政策思路和配套措施。 [关键词] 环境规制；产业升级；全要素生产率 Dynamic Impacts of Environmental Regulation on Industrial Upgrading Path XIAO Xing-zhi, LI Shao-lin （Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Liaoning Dalian,116025 ） Abstract: Environmental regulation affects industry upgrading mainly by demand, technological innovation and international trade mechanism, this paper analyzes the mechanism effects on industrial upgrading path direction, and then use 30 Provincial Dynamic Panel Data from 1998 to 2010, we study the effects of environmental regulation intensity on industry upgrading. Dynamic panel estimation results show that, Chinas overall environmental regulation intensity have negative effects on industrial upgrading path direction ; and regional research results indicate that the central region’s environmental regulation intensity is not significant with industrial upgrading, the western region’s environmental regulation intensity has accelerated industrial upgrading, and the Eastern’s environmental regulation intensity on the industrial upgrading occupy a dominant negative influence position. Based on the above conclusions, Chinas environmental regulation intensity selection should consider the regional differences, and improve the level of urbanization, strengthen manpower capital construction and advance marketing reform, so as environmental regulation and industrial upgrading will have the cooperative wi