基于DEA的山东省港口与区域经济的协调发展亓世龙.pdfVIP

2011 年7 月 水运工程 Jul. 2011 第7 期 总第455 期 Port Waterway Engineering No. 7 Serial No. 455 基于DEA 的山东省 港口与区域经济的协调发展 亓世龙，吕 靖，陈 洁 （大连海事大学交通运输管理学院，辽宁大连116026） 摘要：在分析港口与区域经济互动发展的基础上，构建了基于DEA 模型的港口城市经济和港口有效性的横向评价模型 及随时间动态变化的港口与区域经济互动的纵向评价模型。横向评价结果表明：青岛属于港口和城市经济双有效城市；威海 属于城市经济有效，港口无效型城市；烟台和日照则属于双无效城市；各港口发展程度各异，全省经济发展不平衡，存在着 较大的地区差异。纵向评价结果表明：2000—2009 年港口与区域经济未能实现系统双向有效协调。在此评价基础上，提出 了促进山东省港口与区域经济协调发展的针对性战略举措。 关键词：港口；区域经济；DEA ；协调发展 中图分类号：F 552 文献标志码：A 文章编号：1002-4972 （2011）07-0025-06 Coordinated development of port and regional economy of Shandong province based on DEA QI Shi-long, LU Jing, CHEN Jie (College of Transportation Management, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China) Abstract: Based on the analysis of the mutual development of port and regional economy, this paper constructs two evaluation models base on DEA, one of which is a horizontal model to evaluate the port and regional economy and the other is a time-dynamic longitudinal model to evaluate the relationships between them. The horizontal model results show that the port and regional economy of Qingdao are dual-valid, and the regional economy of Weihai is valid but port of it is not. The port and regional economy of Yantai and Rizhao are invalid. It means that the port and economic development of each region in Shandong province is uneven, and there are great differences among regions. Results from the longitudinal models indicate that from 2000 to 2009, the port and regional economy failed to achieve the effective coordination. Finally, this pa