单站资料均一性对本地气候资料趋势结果影响.pdfVIP

单站资料均一性对本地气候资料趋势结果的影响 1 1 1 王秋香 周昊楠 陈晓燕 1 （新疆气象信息中心，乌鲁木齐，830002） 摘要：选取北疆乌鲁木齐建站到2007年的平均气温、最高气温、最低气温、降水量等年值资料， 采用 SNHT 方法进行均一性检验及订正，又采用气候趋势系数进行订正前后的气候趋势对比分析 发现，乌鲁木齐平均气温、最低气温、最高气温在 1975 年，降水量分别在 1958 年和1975 年因 迁站而引起了资料的非均一性变化，其中，降水量对台站的搬迁变化更加敏感。平均气温值长期 变化订正后比订正前增加趋势更加明显，变暖幅度比订正前多了1/3，比同期中国平均增温速率 明显偏高，比全球或半球同期平均增温速率也明显偏高。降水量值长期变化订正后比订正前增加 趋势有所减弱，乌鲁木齐降水量增加幅度比订正前减少了近一半，用西郊机场近几年的资料进行 对比，也验证了这种结果。 关键词：均一化 气温 降水量 趋势 检验 订正 比较 The Influence of Homogeneity of Single-station on Trends in Local Climate Data 1 1 1 Wang Qiuxiang ，ZHOU Haonan ，CHEN Xiaoyan (1. Xinjiang Meteorological Information Centre, Urumqi 830002, China) Abstract:Applying both Standard Normal Homogeneity Test(SNHT) and climate trend coefficient method,The homogeneity test and correction is carried out for mean annual temperature, annual maximum temperature,annual minimum temperature and annual precipitation of Urumqi in northern XinJiang from up to 2007. The results of before and after correction indicate that station relocations is reason which caused the inhomogeneity of mean annual temperature, annual maximum and minimum temperature of Urumqi in 1975, annual precipitation in 1958 and 1975.Especially,the annual precipitation is easily influenced by the moving of stations.The trend of increasing of mean annual temperature after correction is more significant than before. It is one third than before correction in Warming rate, which is apparently higher than t