灰色—马尔科夫模型在经济预测中应用.docVIP

灰色GM(1,1)模型在经济预测中的应用摘　要：文针对经济预测数据少，作用机理复杂特点，利用灰色GM(1,1)模型时间序列预测理论对中国经济收缩年份、过热年份、经济周期3个经济运行要素进行建模预测，并分析了该预测模型在经济预测中的应用。 关键词：灰色GM（1.1）模型经济增长率经济预测Grey prediction of economy based on gm (1,1) model Abstract According to the characters of few economic forecasting data and complicated action mechanism, this paper makes use of the time sequence prediction theory of grey gm (1,1) model to predict China’s economic contraction years, overheating years and economic cycle, and analyses the important function of grey prediction model in the economic forecasts. Key words: grey gm model；economic growth rate；