中国环境污染与经济增长之间的相关性研究基于线性和非线性计量模型的实证分析.pdfVIP

中国软科学 2009年第 2期 中国环境污染与经济增长之间的相关性研究 刘金全, 郑挺国, 宋 涛 (吉林大学 数量经济研究中心, 吉林 长春 130012) : 本文对我国 29 个省区 1989- 2007年废 固体废弃物和废气 3种环境污染人均指标与人均收入数据 进行建模, 分析我国环境污染与经济增长之间的关系结果表明: 人均废 排放量随人均收入增加均呈现先上 升后下降的变化趋势, 而人均固体废弃物产生量和人均废气排放量随人均收入变化则呈现单调上升的趋势 : 经济增长; 环境污染; 环境库兹涅茨曲线; 非线性; 面板数据 : F062. 2 : A : 1002- 9753( 2009) 02- 0098- 09 Environm ental Pollution and Econom ic Grow th in China: An EmpiricalResearch Based on L inear and NonlinearM ethods LIU Jin- quan, ZHEN ing- guo, SONG ao (Centerf or Quantitative Econom ics, Jilin University, Changchun 130012, China) Abstract: h is paper analyzes the relationship betw een environm ental pollution and econom ic grow th in Ch ina w ith 29 Ch inese provincial data ofw aste w ater, solid w astes and exhaust gas as environm ental indexes and per cap ita incom e as econom ic index over the period 1989- 2005. he resu lts show thatw ith the rise of per capita incom e, per cap ita waste w ater em ission appears a relationship of first increasing and then decreasing, but per capita solidw astes generated and per cap ita waste gas em ission take on m onotonously increasing relationsh ips. K ey words: econom ic grow th; environmentalpollu tion; environm ental Kuznets cu rve; nonlinearity; panel data , , , , ! Kuznet ( 1955) [ 1] , , , ( EKC) EKC Grossm an Krue ger ( 1991, 1993) [ 2- 3] , , : 2008- 10- 01 : 2008- 12- 17 : 985! ! : ( 1964- ),, , , , 8 中国环境污染与经济增长之间的相关性研究 U Shafik Bandyopadhyay ( 1992) [4] Panayotou ( 1993) [ 5] , , EKC , , EKC,