光伏市场与制造的因果关系国际研究.pdfVIP

Front. Energy Power Eng. China DOI 10.1007/s11708-010-0135-5 1 RESEARCH ARTICLE 1 5 Molin HUO, Xiliang ZHANG, Jiankun HE 5 Causality relationship between the photovoltaic market and its manufacturing in China, Germany, the US, and Japan 10 10 15 © Higher Education Press and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2011 15 Abstract This paper aims to investigate the Granger the global annual installation has been growing at an causality relationships between the photovoltaic (PV) average of 60.63% per year from 2003 to 2008. PV market scale and PV manufacturing development in manufacturing sectors are attracting growing investment. 20 China, Germany, the US, and Japan, and consequently From 2003 to 2008, the global annual patents granted 20 provide recommendations for strategic investment and increased by 11.65% and the global annual module industrial policy making. The empirical results show that production by 56.81% on average, as calculated by the the growth of the market scale caused the increase in data described in section 3.3 of this paper. PV manufactur- innovation scale in the four countries except China. ing development can benefit domestic economic de