专业市场与经济增长关系的实证研究.docVIP

专业市场与经济增长关系的实证研究 专业市场；[Abstract]: In this paper, based on the present real data in our country, the method combining qualitative and quantitative analysis is adopted to analyze and investigate the relationship between the specialized market and the economic growth in China. Firstly, the main theories about economic growth are systematically elaborated and the relationship between the specialized market and the economic growth is analyzed theoretically to get the conclusion that the development of the specialized market has promoted the economic growth. Secondly, the existing situations of the relationship between the specialized market and the economic growth are basically described and a clear judgment is given as that the track of the development of the specialized market is in accordance with that of the economic growth in China. At last, demonstration analysis about the relationship between the specialized market and the economic growth is carried out. The regression analysis and the coordinate model are adopted to investigate the correlation between the specialized market development and the economic growth, getting the conclusion that the development of the specialized market has promoted the economic growth in China.. [Key words]: The specialized market; Economic growth; Demonstration analysis [中图分类号] [文献标识码] [文章编号] 经济增长是社会发展和政治稳定的前提条件。探索经济增长的源泉，并采取措施释放生产力，是理论界一直探究的问题。已有的研究认为，长期的经济增长主要取决于劳动力、资本、生产资料等一些生产要素，后来由内生经济学家扩展到劳动力质量的提高、资源配置效率的改善和技术进步等，再后来制度发展、宗教信仰等都是影响经济增长的重要因素。总之，种种新的解释还在继续提出。然而很少有人从制度经济学——从流通制度变迁角度来探讨经济增长。 改革开放以来，我国的经济一直保持着较高速度的发展，1978年到2004年，中国国内生产总值以年均12.8%的速度高速增长，增长了38倍，取得了举世瞩目的成就。与此同时，专业市场也快速发展，无论是数量上，还是成交额，都呈现出快速增加和增长的态势，2005年全国亿元以上专业市场成交额占商品交易市场总额的70.9%，从1978年到2004年，全国专业市场成交额以年均17.89%的速度高速增长，高于GDP的发展速度。在这一背景下，专业市场与经济增长的关系问题，是值得研究的内容专业市场的发展是否推动了区域经济的快速增长，专业市场的发展与经济增长是否存在显著的相关关系？因此，有必要对这些问题进行深入地研究和探讨。 专业市场在西方发达国家前工业化时期和工业化早期的经济发展中发挥了重大的作用，但关于专业市场发展与经济增长关系的研究从来没有。对于贸易与经济增长关系的研究大部分都是研究对外贸易与经济增长关系。对外贸易对经济增长的影响在很早就引起了国外经济学家和学者