内蒙古粮食生产及粮食安全问题分析.pdfVIP

第30 卷第6 期 农业现代化研究 Vol．30 No．6 2009 年11 月 RESEARCH OF AGRICULTURAL MODERNIZATION Nov． 2009 内蒙古粮食生产及粮食安全问题分析 张丽慧，赵先贵，赵达伟，杨 斐，张 玲 （陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院，陕西西安 710062） 摘要：本文根据内蒙古 1951-2007 年粮食生产统计资料及相关调查，运用动态与静态分析、定量与定性分析相结 合的方法，对内蒙古粮食产量、种植结构变化、粮食安全问题及其影响因素进行相关分析。研究结果表明：内蒙古粮 食总产量呈明显的波浪式变化，总体上呈现增长趋势，粮食单产也有所增加，且单产的变化趋势与总产量的变化趋 势大体一致，但播种面积的变化不大。粮食安全总体上处于绝对安全状态，但在空间上还存在一定的差异。以95% 的粮食自给率作为安全标准，依据自然分类法，内蒙古的粮食安全可以划分为5 个等级：极不安全区，较不安全区， 较安全区，安全区和极安全区。 关键词：内蒙古；粮食产量；种植结构；粮食安全 中图分类号：：F326.11 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1000-0275 （2009）06-0673-05 Analysis of Grain Production Changes and Food Security Problem in Inner Mongolia ZHANG Li-hui ，ZHAO Xian-gui ，ZHAO Da-wei ，YANG Fei ，ZHANG Ling (College of Tourism and Environmental Sciences, Shaanxi Normal University, Xian ，Shaanxi 710062, China) Abstract ：According to the statistical data and related investigation of grain production from 1951 to 2007 in Inner Mongolia, this article analyzes grain yield, planting structure changes, food security problem and its influencing factors in Inner Mongolia by using the combination of dynamic analysis and static analysis, quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis. The results shows that the total grain yield tends to an obvious wavy change, but generally it tends to an increasing trend, the per unit area grain yield also increases, and the trend of the per unit area grain yield is consistent with the total grain yield, however, the change of planting area isn ’t big. Generally ，food security is in the absolute safety state, it also has differences in space. This article uses 95% grain self-sufficient rate as safety standard, according to