基于天气分类的风电场群总体出力特性分析.pdfVIP

39 卷 7 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 39 No. 7 20 15 年7 月 Power System Technology Jul. 20 15 文章编号：1000-3673 （20 15）07-1866-07 中图分类号：TM 744 文献标志码：A 学科代码：470 4054 基于天气分类的风电场群总体出力特性分析 李湃，管晓宏，吴江，郑晗旭 （智能网络与网络安全教育部重点实验室(西安交通大学) ，陕西省 西安市 710049 ） Analyzing Characteristics of Aggregated Wind Power Generation Based on Weather Regime Classification LI Pai, GUAN Xiaohong, WU Jiang, ZHENG Hanxu (Key Laboratory for Intelligent Networks and Network Security(Xi ’an Jiaotong University), Ministry of Education, Xi ’an 7 10049, Shaanxi Province, China) ABSTRACT: Analysis on the overall power output of the characteristic analysis; weather regime classification; peak load group of wind farms contributes to mitigate the anxiety brought regulation about by peak load regulation in power grid after the 摘要：分析风电场群总体出力特性有助于缓解大规模风电接 grin-connection of large-scale wind farm group and improve 入后的系统调峰压力，提高风电接纳水平。研究了在不同天 the accommodation level of wind power. The characteristic 气类型下，风电场群总体出力的特性规律。基于气象再分析 regularity of the overall power output of the wind farm group 数据，利用主成分分析和层次聚类法，对影响风电场群地理 under different weather regimes is researched. Based on 区域的天气类型进行分类，识别出若干种典型的天气类型。 meteorological reanalysis data and utilizing principal 然后结合实际风电出力数据，对不同天气类型下的风电总体 component analysis and hierarchical clustering, the weather 出力的波动性和平滑效应进行分析，揭示了天气类型与总体 regimes influencing the geographic area where the wind farm 出力特性之间的内在联系。以蒙西电网6 个风电场为研究对 group locates are classified and several kinds of typical regimes 象，分类得到影响上述风电场的8 种典型的天气系统，并对 are identified