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*
Multi-dimensional Intertemporal Poverty in Rural China
Jing You,1, 2 Sangui Wang,1, † Laurence Roope3
Abstract
We analyse intertemporal poverty in two important dimensions – income and nutrition – in less
developed northwest China during 2000-2004. A generalised recursive selection model is proposed
which enables simultaneous estimation of the causes of intertemporal poverty within and between
dimensions. Improvement in agricultural production is crucial for reducing both dimensions of
intertemporal poverty. We find evidence suggestive of intertemporal income-nutrition poverty traps.
Higher labour productivity, especially in agriculture rather than local off-farm activities or out-
migration, holds much potential for breaking the vicious circle. Agricultural innovation and
mechanisation, regarded by the government as indispensable, yield mixed outcomes for intertemporal
multi-dimensional poverty reduction.
Key words: intertemporal poverty, multi-dimensional poverty, rural China
JEL codes: D63, I3, O52
1. School of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, Renmin University of China; 2. Department of Land
Economy, University of Cambridge; 3. Health Economics Research Centre, University of Oxford.
* You and Wang: School of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, Renmin University of
China, 59 Zhongguancun Street, Beijing 100872, China. (e-mail: jing.you@ and
wangsg@); Roope: Health Economics Research Centre, Nuffield Department of Population
Health, University of Oxford, Old Road Campus, Oxfo
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