气候变化与减贫政策_Climate_Change_and_Poverty_Reduction_Policies资料.ppt

气候变化与减贫政策Climate Change and Poverty Reduction Policies 齐顾波 Qi Gubo 2011.2.25 研究背景Background 贫困人口适应气候变化的能力有限 中国生态脆弱区的贫困人口面临更大的气候变化风险 考虑气候变化的减贫实质是加强贫困人口气候变化适应性 加强贫困人口的气候变化适应性包括提高抵御风险的自主适应能力以及消除宏观气候政策所导致的生计脆弱性 Limited capacity of poor to adaptation to climate change Poor’s more risks to CC in ecological fragile zone Nature of poverty reduction with integration of CC consideration is to enhance resilience of poor to CC To enhance resilience of poor to CC include improving autonomous adaptability and eliminating livelihood vulnerability induced by macro CC policies Is climate change a risk to livelihood development of poor people, and a threaten to push people back to poverty? 气候变化风险所导致的脆弱性正在成为引发贫困的重要因素Vulnerability caused by climate change risks: the main causes of poverty ① 生态脆弱区具有显著气候变化特征以及极端气候事件发生的较大可能性，其生存脆弱性较高，形成较高贫困发生率 Ecotones are of notable features of climate change and have relatively higher possibility of extreme weather events, thus poverty incidence is higher in these areas 气候变化风险所导致的脆弱性正在成为引发贫困的重要因素Vulnerability caused by climate change risks: the main causes of poverty ②无论是突发灾害，还是累积式的气候变化，都对生态脆弱区的贫困人口的生计脆弱性造成直接影响。 --灾害性贫困已经成为中国农村贫困的主要特点 --累积式的气候变化也对贫困人口的生计脆弱性造成很大的影响 Both unexpected disasters and cumulative climate change have direct impacts on the livelihood vulnerability of poor population in ecotones. 气候变化风险所导致的脆弱性正在成为引发贫困的重要因素Vulnerability caused by climate change risks: the main causes of poverty ③生态脆弱区的气候风险与农户的特殊风险双重作用于贫困户的生计，加深其脆弱性。 在生态脆弱带，农村贫困人口的生计脆弱性较高，抵御气候变化风险的能力很低。 生态脆弱区的大多数贫困农户，受到资产积累能力的限制，并不能减缓气候风险的影响。 气候风险对农户生计脆弱性造成的威胁在边远地区和少数民族地区更为显著，同时更大程度地影响到这些地区的妇女的生计状况。（如： 澜沧江流域某村气候风险与其他因素共同作用于妇女生计的案例） Climate risks of an ecotone and the idiosyncratic shocks for the farmers in the area have impacts on the livelihood of poor population, at the same time, worsening the livelihood vulnerability. 气候变化风险所导致的脆弱性正在成为引发贫困的重要因素Vulnerability caused by climate change risks: the main causes of poverty ④气候变化可以通过共生风险而加深特殊风险。 如：气候变化风险