ENSO与云南蒋家沟泥石流灾害发生的关系.pdfVIP

14 4 V o.l 14, No. 4 2005 8 JOURNA L OF NATURAL D ISA STER S A ug. , 2005 : 1004-4574 2005) 04- 0014- 05 EN SO 1, 2 1 1 1 张京红 , 韦方强 , 刘淑珍 , 高克昌 1. - , 6 1004 1; 2. , 570203 ) : 40 ENSO , E lN iÁno La N iÁna , E lN iÁno L a N iÁnaE lN iÁno, , ; L a N iÁna, , E l N iÁno , , , : ; ENSO; E lN iÁno; L a N iÁna : P642. 23 : A Relationship between ENSO and occurrence of debris flow disaster in Jiangjia Ravine, Yunnan 1, 2 1 1 1 ZHANG J ing-hong , W E I Fang-qiang , L IU Shu- zhen , GAO K e-chang 1. Chengdu Inst itu te of M ountain H azard and Env ironm en t, CA S, C hengdu 61004 1, C h ina; 2. H ain an M eteoro log ica l E cological A cadem y, H aikou 570203, Ch ina) Abstract: U sing the observat ion data go tten from Dongchuan Debris F low Observat ion and Research Sta tion since 1965, the prmi ary study on debris flow relat ive to EN SO event in Jiangjia Rav ine ism ade, and the fo llow ing con- clu sions are draw n. EN SO event is one o f the factors a ffecting the activ ity of debris flow in Dongchuan. T he mi pact of E l N ino event on the debris flow in J iangjia Rav ine is m ore seriou s than that of L a N ina even t during the recent 40 years. G enera lly, the E l N ino event m ay decrease the precipitation in summ er season. T he probability o f low qre