电网运行断面的自组织临界态辨识与量化分析.pdfVIP

第38 卷 第8 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 38 No. 8 2014 年8 月 Power System Technology Aug. 2014 文章编号：1000-3673 （2014 ）08-2076-06 中图分类号：TM 721 文献标志码：A 学科代码：470·4051 电网运行断面的自组织临界态辨识和量化分析 1 1 2 1 3 刘文颖 ，但扬清 ，朱艳伟 ，蔡万通 ，王维洲 （1．华北电力大学 电气与电子工程学院，北京市 昌平区 102206 ； 2．国网浙江省电力公司宁波供电公司，浙江省 宁波市 315010 ； 3．国网甘肃省电力公司电力科学研究院，甘肃省 兰州市 730050 ） Identification and Quantitative Analysis of Self-Organized Critical State in Running-Grid Section 1 1 2 1 3 LIU Wenying , DAN Yangqing , ZHU Yanwei , CAI Wantong , WANG Weizhou (1. School of Electrical Electronic Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Changping District, Beijing 102206, China; 2. State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Company Ningbo Power Supply Company, Ningbo 315010, Zhejiang Province, China; 3.State Grid Gansu Electric Power Company Electric Power Research Institute, Lanzhou 730050, Gansu Province, China) ABSTRACT: Self-organized criticality of power system can 停电分布数据进行负荷损失累积概率分布律参数估计和检 be viewed in the two aspects, the long-running evolution 验，进而判断该运行断面下电网是否处于自组织临界态。然 process and static running section of grid. For study on the long 后针对处于不同自组织临界态的系统，建立了自组织临界态 evolution process of the grid is more mature, but still cascading 风险评估指标，将自组织临界态风险进行了数值化表征。 failure model research for static running section is less. A 关键词：OPA 模型；自组织临界态辨识；自组织临界态量 cascading failure model is put forward based on OPA model 化分析；电网运行断面 which is removed