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中国省域人力资本与产业结构的匹配协调关系研究 Research on Matching and Coordination Relation Between Chinese Provincial Human Capital and Industrial Structure 内容提要：人力资本和产业结构间的匹配协调能发挥人力资本和产业结构在经济增长中的作用，促进经济有效增长。耦合协调度正是对这种匹配程度的最佳度量。本文根据耦合理论和协同论思想，建立了人力资本—产业结构系统指标体系，构建了耦合协调度模型，测算了中国各省1997-2013年耦合协调度，从中国整体、区域和省份三个层面并进行横向和纵向两个维度对人力资本与产业结构的匹配程度进行了分析。研究发现：中国人力资本和产业结构整体匹配程度不高，两者处于勉强匹配协调阶段，主要表现为人力资本水平滞后于产业结构发展；各区域人力资本和产业结构的匹配程度存在差异，中西部地区为初级匹配协调，而东部地区为勉强匹配协调；各省人力资本和产业结构的匹配程度也存在着一定的差距，随着时间的推移，大部分省份人力资本和产业结构的匹配程度表现稳定或上升，但新疆、甘肃和云南3省的匹配程度却逐年下降，更为严重的是，在2013年，福建、海南、河北、贵州、江西5省人力资本和产业结构的匹配程度处于匹配失调状态。本文认为，在制定人力资本与产业结构相关政策时，适当向人力资本政策倾斜，并注重因地制宜，同时完善劳动力市场，来提高人力资本和产业结构的匹配程度。 关键词：人力资本；产业结构；匹配；耦合协调度 Summary: Matching and coordination between human capital and industrial structure can make them work better in economic growth, HYPERLINK /dict/search?q=therebyFORM=BDVSP6mkt=zh-cn thereby HYPERLINK /dict/search?q=boostingFORM=BDVSP6mkt=zh-cn boosting? HYPERLINK /dict/search?q=economicFORM=BDVSP6mkt=zh-cn economic? HYPERLINK /dict/search?q=growthFORM=BDVSP6mkt=zh-cn growth. CCDPAHS is the best measure of matching degree. Based on coupling theory and synergetics, the paper has established human capital and industrial structure system index, and built coupling coordination degree model, forecasting coupling coordination degree of provinces in China from 1997 to 2013, as well as analyzing matching degree of human capital and industrial structure on three levels of HYPERLINK /dict/search?q=ChinaFORM=BDVSP6mkt=zh-cn China?as a? HYPERLINK /dict/search?q=wholeFORM=BDVSP6mkt=zh-cn whole HYPERLINK /dict/search?q=%2CFORM=BDVSP6mkt=zh-cn ,? HYPERLINK /dict/search?q=regionalFORM=BDVSP6mkt=zh-cn region HYPERLINK /dict/search?q=andFORM=BDVSP6mkt=zh-cn and? HYPERLINK /dict/search?q=provincialFORM=BDVSP6mkt=zh-cn province horizontally and vertically. The research shows that overall matching degree is not high, and both at barely matching coordination stage, which mainly displays that human capital level lags behind industrial st