陕西省环境库兹涅茨曲线特征及成因分析.docVIP

陕西省环境库兹涅茨曲线特征及成因分析 摘要：近年来随着经济的快速发展，如何在经济增长的同时防治环境污染和改善生态环境质量成为研究关注的焦点。选取14个环境污染指标、9个生态环境指标和人均GDP，对陕西省1986-2012年的数据建立数学模型，得出了环境质量与经济增长之间关系的环境库兹涅茨曲线（EKC）；并选取8个影响因素进行多元线性回归，分析了影响环境指标和陕西省环境质量的主要因素。结果表明，23种环境指标对经济增长的影响呈现不同的发展趋势和特点；除经济增长外，人口数量、城市结构、产业结构、人口素质、技术水平、污染治理投资是影响陕西省环境质量的主要因素，对环境库兹涅茨曲线具有重要解释意义。该研究为陕西省环境污染和生态环境的治理修复、产业结构的科学调整提供依据，同时对西部其他省份具有重要的借鉴意义。 关键词：环境库兹涅茨曲线；环境质量；生态环境；经济增长；陕西省 中图分类号：F127；X22 文献标识码：A 文章编号：0439-8114（2015）14-3384-04 DOI：10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2015.14.014 Analysis of Characteristics and Origin of Environmental Kuznets Curve in Shaanxi Province YANG Fan，WANG Hao （College of Geology and Environment， Xi’an University of Science and Technology， Xi’an 710054， china） Abstract： In recent years，with the rapid development of economy，how to prevent and control environmental pollution and improve the ecological environment quality along with the economic growth at the same time becomes the focus of attention. Starting from the present environmental Kuznets curve （EKC） research，this article analyzes the research progress of environmental pollution and ecological environment. By choosing 14 pollution indicators，9 indicators of ecological environment and GDP per capita， establishing the mathematical model for the data of Shaanxi Province during 1986-2012，the environmental Kuznets curve relationship between environmental quality and economic growth was obtained； 8 factors were selected to analyze multiple linear regression，and the main influence factors of environmental indicators and environmental quality in Shaanxi Province were analyzed. 23 environmental indicators to affect the economic growth show different trends and characteristics. In addition to economic growth，the main factors affecting the quality of the environment also include population，city structure，industrial structure，population quality，technical level and pollution control investment，which is of important significance to explain the environmental Kuznets curve in Shaanxi Province. The r