近松散含水层下采煤安全性熵值模糊综合评判.doc

文章编号: 1001-1986(2012)04-0043-04 近松散含水层下采煤安全性熵值模糊综合评判(中国矿业大学深部岩土力学与地下工程国家重点实验室，资源与地球科学学院，江苏 徐州 221008): 基于模糊数学理论，通过统计经验数据，采用熵值法对影响近松散含水层安全开采的关键因素赋权，利用GIS定量确定各个因素的隶属度，构造了基于熵值的模糊综合评判模型。以山东某矿六采区01工作面开采为例，选择覆岩厚度、断层构造、第四系底部粘土层厚度、底部含水层的单位涌水量、煤层开采厚度、导水裂隙带高度6个影响因素为评判指标，确定了可行性程度的评判集：{较低，低，中等，高，很高}，依据水体下开采的有关安全规程，采用GIS方法确定了各个因素的隶属度，并利用历史开采经验数据确定各个影响因素的权重对该工作面近松散含水层下开采的评判结果表明，该工作面控制采高为2 m时开采是安全可行的，开采过程中针对薄弱环节采取了相应措施，没有发生突水溃砂事件，初步验证了该模糊综合评判模型的实用性。水体下采煤；松散含水层；导水裂隙带；熵值法；模糊综合评判A fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of coal mining near unconsolidated aquifers YANG Binbin，SUI Wanghua(State Key Laboratory for Geomechanics and Deep Underground Engineering, School of Resources and Geosciences, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221008, China) Abstract: Based on fuzzy mathematic theory and related statistical data, the entropy weight method was used to evaluate the weights of the key factors affecting the mining safety under unconsolidated aquifers. Moreover, GIS was applied to determine each factor’s membership degree, therefore a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model was established based on entropy weight. In the panel No. 01 of a coal mine in Shandong Province, six factors were chosen as evaluation indexes, including the thickness of overburden rock, fault structure, the thickness of the lowermost Quaternary clay, the specific capacity of the bottom sand aquifers, the thickness of mining and the height of water flowing fractured zone. The evaluation set of the degree of feasibility was determined as {lower, low, medium, high, very high}. According to the related codes for mining safety under water bodies, each factor’s membership was determined by GIS and each factor’s weight was deducted from case history mining data. A comprehensive evaluation for the mining safety under the unconsolidated aquifers shows that it is feasible when the extraction height is 2.00 m for the panel. No. 01 by taking appropriate measures targeting on some unsafe factors. No serious disturbances and