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a c h i e v e m e n t s o f45 y e a r s p e a c e f u l c o n s t r u c t i o n s i n c e t h e（c h i e v e m e n t s o f45 y e r s p e c f e u r l c o n s t u c t i o n s i n c e t h e）（38页）.doc

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FEATURE ARTICLES Japan’s New Defence Policy Outline and Its Impact on the Security in Asia-Pacific Professor Pan Zhenqiang, adviser of the CPCPD On December 9, Japan announced that it would adopt a new defence policy outline, officially called the new National Defence Program Outline. It is the second revision since its first compilation in 1976 and will replace the current 1995 outline beginning April 2005. Along with the revised National Defence Program Outline which maps out its defence policies for the next 10 years, Japan also issued the midterm defence build-up program, detailing the SDF equipment and personnel formation plans in the five years to come. The announcement has immediately drawn close attention from the international community as many analysts believe that the new outline is a further departure from Japan’s previous defence posture which Tokyo consistently touted as self-defensive in nature. The new outline, however, envisages a much more ambitious and aggressive policy in the future. The full official text of the document is not available yet. The following is believed to be the highlights of the new outline that draw the greatest attention from the international community: --About the new threat perception. The Outline offers a gloomy picture of the world and particularly of the Asia-Pacific region. It emphasizes the emergence of new threats in diverse situations like international terrorism, ballistic missile attacks, guerrilla wars, invasion of small outlying islands, intrusions of armed spy ships, and massive disasters, etc. But what is most striking is that Tokyo for the first time names the DPRK and China as its major concern. The previous outline in 1995 had avoided referring to any specific countries of concern by name. The new outline is reported, however, to picture Dark’s military moves as a significantly unstable factor in regional security and a serious problem for global non-proliferation efforts. With regard to C