productionof site time specific hourly irradiances（productionof站点时间具体的每小时的辐照度）（9页）.docVIP

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productionof site time specific hourly irradiances（productionof站点时间具体的每小时的辐照度）（9页）.doc

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Production of Site/Time Specific Hourly Irradiances --- Satellite Remote Sensing vs. Network Interpolation Richard Perez, Robert Seals and Antoine Zelenka * The University at Albany, Albany, New York. * Swiss Meteorological Institute, Zurich, Switzerland ABSTRACT In this paper, we compare the accuracy of satellite-derived time/site specific hourly irradiances, with that of irradiances obtained via extrapolation and/or interpolation of nearby ground-measuring stations. A comprehensive study undertaken by the International Energy Agency [Zelenka et al., 1992] had addressed this question, but had limited its scope to daily total irradiances. The present study focuses on hourly data. 1. INTRODUCTION Site/time specific irradiance data are needed to simulate the output of solar energy systems (e.g., PV) in relation to other time/site specific quantities that are indirectly related to the solar resource (e.g., the load requirements of a utility, a substation or a building). Standard climatological data such as typical years, or climatologically representative stochastic data may be appropriate for system design or for energy production calculations, but they are not sufficient to study a systems interaction with its intended end-use if there is any relationship between the two. Fig. 1: Distribution of ground-truth stations Because of the scarcity of irradiance measuring stations, the use of representative sites where irradiance data are measured or modeled has been a common practice for engineering calculations. In the USA, the National Solar Radiation Data Base [NSRDB, 1994] includes data for 239 locations which can be used to simulate systems throughout the country. However, whereas this practice may be acceptable for standard energy calculations, nearby site extrapolation may prove very inaccurate when site/time specific data are needed. Another source of irradiance data, remote sensing from geostationary satellites, although inherently less accurate than ground base