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Public Finance and Public Policy econ公共财政与公共政策的经济学.iastate
* * * * 4.4 Why Do We Care About the Government’s Fiscal Position? The Federal Budget, Interest Rates, and Economic Growth The simple supply and demand framework is complicated by introducing the federal government into the market. What if there is a federal deficit and the government must borrow to finance the difference between its revenues and its expenditures? The key concern about federal deficits is that the federal government’s borrowing might compete with the borrowing of private firms. If a fixed supply of savings is used to finance both the capital of private firms and the borrowing of the government, then the government’s borrowing may crowd out the borrowing of the private sector and lead to a lower level of capital accumulation. In reality, there are a number of complications of how government financing affects interest rates and growth. 4.4 Why Do We Care About the Government’s Fiscal Position? The Federal Budget, Interest Rates, and Economic Growth International Capital Markets There is a large body of economics literature that has investigated the integration of international capital markets. It has generally concluded that while integration is present (and perhaps growing), it is far from perfect. As a result, the supply of capital to the United States may not be perfectly elastic, and government deficits could crowd out private savings. 4.4 Why Do We Care About the Government’s Fiscal Position? The Federal Budget, Interest Rates, and Economic Growth Evidence Theory therefore tells us that higher deficits lead to higher interest rates and less capital investment, but it does not tell us how much higher and how much less. The existing empirical literature on this question is somewhat inconclusive, although recent evidence suggests that projected long-term deficits do appear to be reflected to some extent in long-term interest rates. 4.4 Why Do We Care About the Government’s Fiscal Position? Intergenerational Equity intergenerational equity The
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