Children expectations judgments of.docVIP

 PAGE \* MERGEFORMAT 32 Children expectations judgments of 【Summary】 The 7-year-old, 9-year-old, 12-year-old schoolchildren and adults, college students were tested to enable them to task in the five kinds of experiments carried out to determine the expected value in order to explore the development of children’s expectations to judge. The results showed that: (1) 7-year-olds will be able to carry out tasks in a simple probabilistic reasoning, and correct diagnosis of the expected value; (2) children multiplying the probability and value of the two dimensions showing the relationship between cognitive development trends, but its multiplication the application of the rules is still inferior to adult level. The adults have greater performance expectations to determine individual differences. (Three) In the case of the same expectations, children pay more attention to the probability of occurrence value of the relative neglect. One of the problem Expected value (Expected Value) is an uncertain event on the basic concepts of reasoning. In daily life, whether it is worth the pursuit of a goal depends on two factors: the value of the goal itself (Value) and the achievement of objectives of the possibility (probability, Probability). Expectation that the product of probability and value (EV = p × v). Expectations in the motivation (motivation) and learning (enhanced) theory, there are important. American psychologist Fromm (V. Vroom) proposed the theory of incentives to stimulate human motivation is to expected as the core. Also expected in the risk decision-making theory is a very important concept. (Need to explain is that we usually say that expectations are often refers primarily to value, does not include the possibility, and we study the concepts used in the management of incentive theory in general concept). Expectations for the study of children’s probabilistic reasoning to determine the development of useful [1]. Of opportuniti