China Lubricant Industry in 2009 Top Ten conjecture.docVIP

 PAGE \* MERGEFORMAT 11 China Lubricant Industry in 2009 Top Ten conjecture 1, individual enterprises are unable to complete the full-year sales tasks occurring probability: 85% The oil industry in 2008 experienced a ‘冰火两重天 ‘ roller coaster trend of all enterprises within the industry were ‘sloshing’ Debu light; in 2009, will reproduce the big bang type of market conditions is still difficult to predict, but the company will continue to face the situation of weak sales growth, except when in the formulation of goals set a very low figure, otherwise, each company will be unable to complete the full-year sales of the task. Since July 2008, oil production and sales continued to decline in September outbreak of the global financial tsunami on the domestic logistics industry, a serious impact on the automotive industry, individual companies in the fourth quarter sales have fallen significantly, while the implementation of fuel tax, but also to the oil companies added a heavy tax burden, can be said that in 2009, the entire oil industry is still faced with severe challenges. However, the market’s charm lies in their unpredictability, 2009, we expect the automotive industry will be a stimulating domestic demand, a key growth point ‘will be replaced with housing and automobile housing fund fund’ so heavy is not completely positive come from nowhere, when state support for the automotive industry have been implemented, the private car ride on the momentum of lubricants will also naturally have no suspense; Second, the probability of selling cars than selling oil occurs: 40% Dry VC (venture capital) are loving this line is an enterprise like to buy it back later, split into many different parts, and then go to sell, respectively, is said to get a separate sale of the business itself is more than ten times more than profit; do not know in automobile sales of this business to understand the fact that the number of people; but there is no doubt that in 2009, there wi