Comparison of two model approaches in the Zambezi river basin with regard to model reliability and identifiability.docVIP

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Comparison of two model approaches in the Zambezi river basin with regard to model reliability and identifiability.doc

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Comparison of two model approaches in the Zambezi river basin with regard to model reliability and identifiability

Hydrol.EarthSyst.Sci.Discuss.,2,2625–2661,2005 /EGU/hess/hessd/2/2625/ SRef-ID:1812-2116/hessd/2005-2-2625 EuropeanGeosciencesUnion HESSD Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 2,2625–2661,2005 Discussions Twomodel approachesforthe Zambeziriverbasin PaperspublishedinHydrologyandEarthSystemSciencesDiscussionsareunder open-accessreviewforthejournalHydrologyandEarthSystemSciences H.C.Winsemiusetal. Comparisonoftwomodelapproachesin theZambeziriverbasinwithregardto modelreliabilityandidenti?ability TitlePage Abstract Conclusions Tables Introduction References Figures 1 1 1 2 H.C.Winsemius ,H.H.G.Savenije ,A.M.J.Gerrits ,E.A.Zapreeva ,and R.Klees 2 J J I I 1WaterResourcesSection,FacultyofCivilEngineeringandAppliedGeosciences,Delft UniversityofTechnology,Stevinweg1,P.O.Box5048,2600GADelft,TheNetherlands 2InstituteofEarthObservationandSpaceSystems(DEOS),PhysicalandSpaceGeodesy group,DelftUniversityofTechnology,Kluyverweg1,P.O.BoB,Delft,The Netherlands Back Close FullScreen/Esc Received:16September2005–Accepted:17October2005–Published:7December2005 Correspondenceto:H.C.Winsemius(h.c.winsemius@citg.tudelft.nl) PrintVersion InteractiveDiscussion ?2005Author(s).ThisworkislicensedunderaCreativeCommonsLicense. EGU 2625 Abstract HESSD VariationsofwaterstocksintheupperZambeziriverbasinhavebeendeterminedby2 di?erenthydrologicalmodellingapproaches. Thepurposewastoprovidepreliminary terrestrialstorageestimatesintheupperZambeziforcomparisonwithestimatesde- rivedfromtheGravityRecoveryAndClimateExperiment(GRACE).The?rstmodelling approachisGIS-based,distributedandconceptual(STREAM).Thesecondapproach useslumpedelementarywatershedsidenti?edandmodelledconceptually(LEW).The STREAM model structure has been assessed using GLUE (Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation) a posteriori to determine parameter identi?ability. The LEW 2,2625–2661,2005 Twomodel approachesforthe Zambeziriverbasin 5 H.C.Winsemiusetal. 10 approachcould,inaddition,betestedformodelstructure,becausecom