Downscaling of surface moisture flux and precipitation in the Ebro Valley (Spain) using analogues and analogues followed by random forests and multiple linear regression.docVIP

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Downscaling of surface moisture flux and precipitation in the Ebro Valley (Spain) using analogues and analogues followed by random forests and multiple linear regression.doc

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Downscaling of surface moisture flux and precipitation in the Ebro Valley (Spain) using analogues and analogues followed by random forests and multiple linear regression

Hydrol.EarthSyst.Sci.Discuss.,8,1951–1985,2011 /8/1951/2011/ doi:10.5194/hessd-8-1951-2011 Hydrology and Earth System Sciences HESSD 8,1951–1985,2011 Discussions ?Author(s)2011.CCAttribution3.0License. Downscalingof surfacemoisture?ux andprecipitation Thisdiscussionpaperis/hasbeenunderreviewforthejournalHydrologyandEarth SystemSciences(HESS).Pleaserefertothecorresponding?nalpaperinHESS ifavailable. G.Ibarra-Berastegietal. Downscalingofsurfacemoisture?uxand precipitationintheEbroValley(Spain) usinganaloguesandanaloguesfollowed byrandomforestsandmultiplelinear regression TitlePage Abstract Conclusions Tables Introduction References Figures J J I I G.Ibarra-Berastegi ,J.Sae′nz ,A.Ezcurra ,A.El′?as ,J.DiazdeArgandon?a4, andI.Errasti 1 2 2 3 1 1Dept.ofFluidMechanicsandNuclearEngineering,UniversityoftheBasqueCountry,Spain 2Dept.ofAppliedPhysicsII,UniversityoftheBasqueCountry,Spain 3Dept.ofChemicalEnvironmentalEngineering,UniversityoftheBasqueCountry,Spain 4Dept.ofAppliedPhysicsI,UniversityoftheBasqueCountry,Spain Back Close FullScreen/Esc Printer-friendlyVersion InteractiveDiscussion Received:28January2011–Accepted:9February2011–Published:21February2011 Correspondenceto:G.Ibarra-Berastegi(gabriel.ibarra@ehu.es) PublishedbyCopernicusPublicationsonbehalfoftheEuropeanGeosciencesUnion. 1951 Abstract HESSD Inthispaper,reanalysis?eldsfromtheECMWFhavebeenstatisticallydownscaledto predictfromlarge-scaleatmospheric?eldssurfacemoisture?uxanddailyprecipitation attwoobservatories(ZaragozaandTortosa,EbroValley,Spain)duringthe1961–2001 period.Threetypesofdownscalingmodelshavebeenbuilt(i)analogues,(ii)analogues followedbyrandomforestsand(iii)analoguesfollowedbymultiplelinearregression. The inputs consist of data (predictor ?elds) taken from the ERA-40 reanalysis. The predicted?eldsareprecipitationandsurfacemoisture?uxasmeasuredatthetwoob- servatories. With the aim to reduce the dimensionality of the problem, the ERA-40 8,1951–1985,2011 Downscalingof surfacemoisture?ux andprecip