基于模糊综合评判的铁路应急资源需求紧急度评价研究.pdfVIP

文章编号: 1003-1421(2014)1 0-0070一06 中图分类号: U298.6 文献标识码:B 基于模糊综合评判的铁路应怠资源 需求援急度评价研究 Study on Urgency Evaluation of Railway Emergency Resource Demand based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation 穆 ，钱，挣云水，成剥削 MU Ran , ZHENG Yun-shui , CHENG Li-gang (兰州交通大学自动化与电气工程学院，甘肃兰州 730070) (School of Automation Electrical Engineering , Lanzhou Jiaotong University , Lanzhou 730070 , Gansu , China) 摘 要z 在概述模糊综合评判原理的基础上，针对铁路突发事件发生后应急资源 在不同时段不同应急点效用不同的特点，构建铁路应急资源需求紧急度评价模 型，分析确定应急资源需求紧急度的影响因素和评判集，采用层次分析法确定各 影响因素的权重，采用模糊综合评判法对铁路不同应急点所需不同资源的紧急度 进行评价，并且通过算例验证模型的有效性和实用性，结果较为贴近实际，从而 为科学合理调度铁路应急资源提供决策依据。 关键词:模糊综合评判;铁路应急资源g 需求紧急度3 应急资源调度 Abstract: Based on summarized the principles of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation , targeting with the characteristics of emergency resource having different effects in di仔erent stages and di悔rent incident spot after railway emergency arising , the urgency evaluation model of railway emergency resource demand was established , which used to firstly analyze and determine the influence factors and judging sets of the urgency of emergency resource demand , determine the weight of each influence factor by using AHP method , then evaluate the urgency of different resource needed in di仔erent emergency point on railways by using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. 丁he paper also validated the availability and practicability of the model by example. The validated result was closed to the fact , thereby provides decision-making basis for scientifically and reasonably traffic controlling railway emergency resour臼. Key Words: Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation; Railway Emergency Resource; Demand Urgency; Control of Emerge