Bayesian Approach to Zero-Inflated Bivariate Ordered Probit Regression Model, with an Application to Tobacco Use英文文献资料.docVIP

HindawiPublishingCorporation JournalofProbabilityandStatistics Volume2012,ArticleID617678,26pages doi:10.1155/2012/617678 ResearchArticle BayesianApproachtoZero-In?ated BivariateOrderedProbitRegression Model,with anApplication toTobaccoUse ShiferawGurmu andGetachewA.Dagne 1 2 1Department ofEconomics, AndrewYoungSchoolofPolicyStudies,GeorgiaStateUniversity, P.O.Box3992,Atlanta,GA30302,USA 2Department ofEpidemiology andBiostatistics, CollegeofPublicHealth,University ofSouthFlorida, Tampa,FL33612,USA Correspondence shouldbeaddressedtoShiferawGurmu,sgurmu@ Received13July2011;Revised18September 2011;Accepted 2October2011 Academic Editor:WenbinLu Copyright q2012S.GurmuandG.A.Dagne. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction inanymedium,providedtheoriginalworkisproperlycited. Thispaper presents aBayesian analysis ofbivariate orderedprobitregression model withexcess ofzeros.Speci?cally,inthecontext ofjointmodeling oftwoorderedoutcomes, wedevelop zero- in?atedbivariateorderedprobitmodelandcarryoutestimationusingMarkovChainMonteCarlo techniques.Usinghouseholdtobaccosurveydatawithsubstantialproportionofzeros,weanalyze the socioeconomic determinants ofindividual problem ofsmoking and chewing tobacco. Inour illustration, we?ndstrongevidencethataccounting forexcesszerosprovidesgood?ttothedata. Theexampleshowsthattheuseofamodelthatignoreszero-in?ation masksdi?erentiale?ectsof covariates onnonusersandusers. 1.Introduction This paper is concerned with joint modeling of two ordered data outcomes allowing for excesszeros.Economic,biological,andsocialsciencestudiesoftenyielddataontwoordered categoricalvariablesthatarejointlydependent.Examplesincludetherelationshipbetween desiredandexcessfertility1,2,helmetuseandmotorcycleinjuries3,ownershipofdogs andtelevisions4,severityofdiabeticretinopathyoftheleftandrighteyes5,and