Bayesian Inference and Prediction of Burr Type XII Distribution for Progressive First Failure Censored Sampling英文文献资料.docVIP

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Bayesian Inference and Prediction of Burr Type XII Distribution for Progressive First Failure Censored Sampling英文文献资料.doc

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Bayesian Inference and Prediction of Burr Type XII Distribution for Progressive First Failure Censored Sampling英文文献资料

Intelligent Information Management, 2011, 3, 175-185 doi:10.4236/iim.2011.35021 Published Online September 2011 (http://www.SciRP.org/journal/iim) Bayesian Inference and Prediction of Burr Type XII Distribution for Progressive First Failure Censored Sampling Ahmed A. Soliman, A. H. Abd Ellah, N. A. Abou-Elheggag, A. A. Modhesh Mathematics Department, Sohag University, Sohag, Egypt E-mail: ahmhamed@ Received April 27, 2011; revised July 16, 2011; accepted July 25, 2011 Abstract This paper deals with Bayesian inference and prediction problems of the Burr type XII distribution based on progressive first failure censored data. We consider the Bayesian inference under a squared error loss func- tion. We propose to apply Gibbs sampling procedure to draw Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samples, and they have in turn, been used to compute the Bayes estimates with the help of importance sampling tech- nique. We have performed a simulation study in order to compare the proposed Bayes estimators with the maximum likelihood estimators. We further consider two sample Bayes prediction to predicting future order statistics and upper record values from Burr type XII distribution based on progressive first failure censored data. The predictive densities are obtained and used to determine prediction intervals for unobserved order statistics and upper record values. A real life data set is used to illustrate the results derived. Keywords: Burr Type XII Distribution, Progressive First-Failure Censored Sample, Bayesian Estimations, Gibbs Sampling, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, Posterior Predictive Density 1. Introduction perimenter might decide to group the test units into several sets, each as an assembly of test units, and then run all the test units simultaneously until occurrence the first failure in each group. Such a censoring scheme is called a first-failure censoring scheme. Jun et al. [6] discussed a sampling plan for a bearing