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Statistics review 11 Assessing risk 英文参考文献
Available online /content/8/4/287
Review
Statistics review 11: Assessing risk
Viv Bewick1, Liz Cheek1 and Jonathan Ball2
1Senior Lecturer, School of Computing, Mathematical and Information Sciences, University of Brighton, Brighton, UK
2Senior Registrar in ICU, Liverpool Hospital, Sydney, Australia
Corresponding author: Viv Bewick, v.bewick@brighton.ac.uk
Published online: 30 June 2004
Critical Care 2004, 8:287-291 (DOI 10.1186/cc2908)
This article is online at /content/8/4/287
? 2004 BioMed Central Ltd
Abstract
Relative risk and odds ratio were introduced in earlier reviews (see Statistics reviews 3, 6 and 8). This
review describes the calculation and interpretation of their confidence intervals. The different
circumstances in which the use of either the relative risk or odds ratio is appropriate and their relative
merits are discussed. A method of measuring the impact of exposure to a risk factor is introduced.
Measures of the success of a treatment using data from clinical trials are also considered.
Keywords absolute risk reduction, attributable risk, case–control study, clinical trial, cross-sectional study, cohort
study, incidence, number needed to harm, number needed to treat, odds ratio, prevalence, rate ratio, relative risk
(risk ratio)
Introduction
unexposed group. For the data given in Table 1, if the
presence of the C allele is regarded as the risk factor, then
the RR for ARDS is estimated by the following:
As an example, we shall refer to the findings of a prospective
cohort study conducted by Quasney and coworkers [1] of
402 adults admitted to the Memphis Methodist Healthcare
System with community-acquired pneumonia. That study
investigated the association between surfactant protein B
and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Patients
were classified according to their thymine/cytosine (C/T)
gene coding, and patients with the C allele presen
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