城市建筑物快速震害预测系统.PDF

15 3 V o.l 15, No. 3 2006 6 JOURNA L OF NATURAL D ISA STER S Jun. , 2006 : ( 2006 郭小东, 苏经宇, 马东辉, 李 刚 ( , 100022 : , , , , , , , , : ; ; ; : P315. 9 : A Rapid earthquake damage prediction system of urban buildings GU O X iaodong, SU J ingyu, MA Donghu ,i L I Gang ( E arth quake R esistance and D isasterM it igat ion Inst itute, Beijing U n iversity of T echnology, Beijing 100022, Ch ina Abstract: Ex isting earthquake dam age pred iction m ethods need detailed m echan ical character data of structures. These data m ay be abtained for in a block, but for a large c ity, they are not ava ilab le becau se of enormou s financ ia l and m ateria l consum ption. So, it is necessary to research rap id m ethods predicting earthquake dam age of group o f building in a c ity. In th is paper a new rapid earthquake dam age pred ict ion system w as established w hich w as based on the analogue pred iction. T he smi ilarity betw een buildings is d istingu ished by w e ighted distance in fuzzy m athe m at ics. The app lication of the m ethod to the earthquake dam age predict ion o f the buildings in Quanzhou C ity show s that th is m ethod is operab le and reliab le. K ey words: city; bu ilding; earthquake dam age pred ict ion; Quanzhou C ity [ 1] , , , [ 2, 3] , , ( GB / [ 4 ] T 19428- 2003 , , 8% ~ 11% , , 10% , , , : 2005- 12- 26; : 2006- 04- 30 : ( 520040 : ( 1977- , , , , . 3