如何有效抑制青少年霸凌行为的发生数学模型.docx

题 目 如何有效的抑制校园霸凌事件的发生 关 键 词 青少年心理 假设检验 概率分布拟合 主成分分析 摘 要： 随着科学技术的飞速发展和互联网的普及，各种信息的传播速度极为迅速，给青少年带来了许多问题。基于这样的背景，本文以附件中的数据为基础，运用多种方法，如概率拟合法、主成分分析法、假设检验法，根据各个问题的要求建立不同年龄段青少年心理状况模型，提出抑制校园霸凌事件发生的策略。 针对问题一，利用概率分布拟合方法建立数学模型，从而获得青少年心理状态随年龄改变的变化趋势，并揭示青少年在不同年龄下心理状态的差异性。具体步骤如下：本文首先对题目提供的部分数据进行转换，将A赋为1,B赋为0，同时令正向数值为正，负向数值为负，将三个因变量进行量化处理；然后用Excel软件得出各个年龄段量化后的均值和方差；最后通过MATLAB进行概率分布拟合得出分布图,以获得年龄与青少年心理状态的关系。 针对问题二，本文通过主成分分析法建立模型，借助于正交变换，分析影响青少年心理状态的第一主分和第二主分，并揭示不同年龄的青少年心理状态不稳定的原因。具体步骤如下：首先，为了减小数据的差异，本文将提供的数据转换成最大值为1，最小值为0，其它数据标准化为0-1之间；接着采用主元分析法，对不同年龄段青少年的心理影响因素建立PCA模型，根据模型得出主要的影响因素，针对性的给出解决策略。 同时，本文在最后进行了模型的优缺点评价。针对本次对青少年的潜在心理和年龄的关系，附上研究分析报告，阐述不同年龄心理状态差异和影响青少年心理的主要因素，对解决校园霸凌行为提供合理意见。 英文摘要 Abstract With the rapid development of science and technology and the popularity of the Internet, a variety of very fast speed of information dissemination, which brought many problems to teenagers. Based on this background, this paper based on the data in the annex, using a variety of methods, such as the probability of fitting, principal component analysis, hypothesis testing methods, the establishment of different ages adolescent mental health model in accordance with the requirements of the various issues raised inhibition campus policy incidents of bullying. For question one, using probability distribution fitting methods to obtain a change of adolescent mental status changes with age and reveal adolescent mental state different age difference. Specific steps are as follows: Firstly, some of the data provided on the subject of conversion, A will be assigned to 1, B is assigned 0, and make three the dependent variable quantized; then come all ages quantized mean and variance using Excel software; Finally, MATLAB fitting probability distributions derived distribution, in order to obtain the relationship between age and youth mental state. For the second question , in this paper, modeled by principal component analysis, by means of an orthogonal tran