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实例-Meta分析评述
Meta-Analysis Critique
The Efficacy of Relapse Prevention on Substance Use Disorders
Ashlee Carter 11/7/05
Reference
Irvin, J.E., Bowers, C.A., Dunn, M.E.,
Wang, M.C. (1999).
Efficacy of Relapse Prevention: A Meta-Analytic Review.
Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 67, 563-570.
Research Domain
Clinical Psychology
Therapeutic Interventions
Substance Use Disorders
Alcohol Use
Cocaine Use
Smoking (Tobacco)
Polysubstance Use
Central Questions
What is the effect of RP on substance use behavior
What is the effect of RP on overall psychosocial adjustment?
Potential Moderating Variables
Class of substance use disorder
Treatment modality
Setting of treatment
Adjunctive use of medication
Outcome measures
Comparative efficacy of RP
Length of posttreatment follow-up
Methods
Study identification:
Computerized databases
Reference lists
Contact prominent researchers to request unpublished data
Inclusion/Exclusion criteria
Result: 26 studies, 70 hypothesis tests, 9,504 participants
Methods
Main effect sizes converted to r
Mini meta-analysis within studies
r transformed to Fisher’s z
Weighted average z score calculated
z converted back to r
Aggregate r across studies
95% CI calculated
Weighted average r
Results
Overall treatment effect of RP interventions for alcohol use disorders, substance use disorders, and smoking is r = .14 (95% CI = .10 – .17, n = 22).
Overall treatment effect of RP interventions on improving psychosocial adjustment is r = .48 (95% CI = .42 to .53, n = 10).
Results: File drawer bias?
Fail-safe n = 388 (p = 0.05)
Number of undiscovered studies averaging no effect of RP interventions that would be required to reduce the obtained relationship to zero
Conclusion: The main effect is tolerant to future undiscovered null results
Results: Moderator Analysis
Contrast analyses
Z scores
Problems:
Small sample sizes
Differences in effect sizes due to class of substance use disorder
Medication varies
Results: Moderating Variables
1) More eff
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