大型公共建筑能耗动态模型的研究与应用 - 计算机工程与应用.pdf

大型公共建筑能耗动态模型的研究与应用 - 计算机工程与应用.pdf

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大型公共建筑能耗动态模型的研究与应用 - 计算机工程与应用

214 2011 ,47 (16) Computer Engineering and Applications 计算机工程与应用 大型公共建筑能耗动态模型的研究与应用 1 1 2 1 1 马 媛 ,于军琪 ,杨 柳 ,杨创业 ,王 磊 1 1 2 1 1 MA Yuan ,YU Junqi ,YANG Liu ,YANG Chuangye ,WANG Lei 1.西安建筑科技大学 信息与控制工程学院,西安 710055 2.西安建筑科技大学 建筑学院,西安 710055 1.School of Information and Control Engineering ,Xi ’an University of Architecture and Technology ,Xi ’an 710055 ,China 2.School of the Architecture ,Xi ’an University of Architecture and Technology ,Xi ’an 710055 ,China MA Yuan ,YU Junqi ,YANG Liu ,et al.Study on dynamic energy consumption model and application of large-scale pub- lic building.Computer Engineering and Applications ,2011 ,47 (16):214-217. Abstract :By analyzing the energy consumption data of large-scale public building with the magnanimity ,randomness ,se- quence and other features ,an energy consumption dynamic model based on multiple linear regressions and first-order self- regression is established.It analyses the model parameter estimation ,and it proves the significance and effectiveness in theory 2 of this model by using F and χ tests.According to the energy consumption data of one large-scale public building in Xi ’an city ,the verisimilitude ,feasibility and the healthiness of this model are validated by experiments.Therefore ,this model can do a real-time dynamic prediction for the existing and new large-scale public buildings ,it resolves the problem of the quantifica- tion of energy-saving and “energy-consumption within the quota”,which offers scientific guidance to the realization of the au- dit ,supervision and such energy-saving systems. Key words :energy consumption ;dynamic model ;Recursive Least Squares (RLS );multiple linear regressions ;autoregressive 摘 要:通过分析大型公共建筑能耗数据所具有的海量性、随机性、序列性等特征,建立了基于多元线性回归与一阶自回归算法

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