可中断负荷的优化管理.pdfVIP

第41卷第11期 上 海 交 通 大 学 学 报 V01．41 NO．11 2007年11月 JOURNAL OF SHANGHAI JIAOTONG UNIVERSITY NOV．2007 文章编号：1006—2467(2007)11—1901—04 可 中断负荷 的优化管理 王何舟， 顾 洁 (上海交通大学 电子信息与电气工程学院，上海200240) 摘 要：讨论了模糊负荷预测值确定时的优化中断负荷阈值，获得了社会效益最大化的中断决策， 提出了建立在模糊数学基础上的最优中断阂值模型．该模型应用最优化模糊概率的方法，在原始负 荷预测数据和影响因素不确定的情况下，得到更符合电网实际情况的中断负荷阂值．最后，通过多 组算例说明了本模型的有效性和实用性． 关键词：可中断负荷；模糊数学；最优中断阈值；需求侧管理 中图分类号：TM 715 文献标识码：A The Management of Interruptible Load WANG He—zhou， GUJie (School of Electronic，Information and Electrical Eng．，Shanghai Jiaotong Shanghai 200240，China) Abstract：This article focused on how to solve the optimal interruptible threshold based on the fuzzy load forecast and how to maximize the social benefit after making the interrupting decision ． An interruptible load management scheme Was proposed here that enables the selection of optimal interruptible loads incor— porating network constraints．And this model provides an analytical framework for solving several impor— tant issues associated with optimal selection of load curtailment．By applying the most optimal measures of fuzzy probability it can obtain the best interruptible threshold that is more accordant with the actual condi— tion of the power system in the case that the original load forecast and affecting elements are unstable ． And at last，the effectiveness and practicalities of this model were illustrated by using groups of connected ex— amples． Key words：interruptible load；fuzzy mathematics；optimal interruptible threshold；demand side manage— n1Pnt 近年来，随