台中市抢夺犯罪热点与犯罪区位之空间分析中市抢夺犯罪热点与犯罪.PDF

23 地理研究 第53期 民國99年11月 Journal of Geographical Research No.53, November 2010 台中市搶奪犯罪熱點與犯罪區位之空間分析台中市搶奪犯罪熱點與犯罪區位之空間分析 台台中市搶奪犯罪熱點與犯罪區位之空間分析中市搶奪犯罪熱點與犯罪區位之空間分析 The Spatial Analysis of the Robbery Hot Spot and Crime Location in Taichung city 李瑞陽a 陳勝義 b Re-Yang Lee Sheng-I Chen Abstract With the rapid growth in the economy and social transition in Taiwan, the phenomenon of crime is concentrated on metropolitan areas. The traditional research of the crime space is shown by the statistic data and statistic charts, it can not reveal the relationship between the crime location and space. The regression analysis is the most common method when analysis what kind of crime theories or social economic factors reveal obviously correlation with crime phenomenon. However, the traditional liner regression model does not consider the spatial heterogeneity and the phenomenon of spatial autocorrelation, it causes the explain ability of crime theory decreased because of the effects of spatial changes. This research applies the average nearest neighbor analysis to find whether the robbery positions are aggregated and analysis the crime hotspot. And then using the kernel density estimation and spatial autocorrelation analysis to compare the distribution of the robbery in different periods and draw the crime map. With the analysis of crime location, use the criminology theory to select the variables of the social economic humanity environment and build the multiple regression models to discuss the location character of robbery ho