应用precis生成用户友好型气候情景数据 - 中国气候变化信息网.pptVIP

应用PRECIS生成用户友好型气候情景数据Generating User-friendly Climate Scenarios with PRECIS Yinlong XU （许 吟隆）中国农业科学院 Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture (IEDA), Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS) Beijing, China Tel: +86 10 8210 9766; Tel Fax: +86 10 8210 6012 E-mail: xuyl@ami.ac.cn 3-5 March, 2010 提 纲 Outline 工具和方法 Model and Methodology 气候变化情景结果分析 Some Analysed Results on Climate Change Scenarios 情景数据的订正 Correction of Climate Scenarios outputs 气候情景的验证和应用 Validation of the Corrected Climate Scenarios 应用举例 Examples of Applications 存在问题及未来工作展望 Problems a