IPCC AR4气候模式对东亚夏季风年代际变化的模拟性能评估（The IPCC AR4 climate model evaluates the performance of east Asian summer monsoon changes）.docVIP

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IPCC AR4气候模式对东亚夏季风年代际变化的模拟性能评估（The IPCC AR4 climate model evaluates the performance of east Asian summer monsoon changes）.doc

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IPCC AR4气候模式对东亚夏季风年代际变化的模拟性能评估（The IPCC AR4 climate model evaluates the performance of east Asian summer monsoon changes）

IPCC AR4气候模式对东亚夏季风年代际变化的模拟性能评估（The IPCC AR4 climate model evaluates the performance of east Asian summer monsoon changes） Simulation performance evaluation of the IPCC AR4 climate model for the interdecadal variation of the East Asian summer monsoon Sun Yingding one remit National Climate Center, Beijing, 100081 abstract Methods using various observations and classification in this paper to evaluate the IPCC AR4 (Intergovernmental Panel on climate change fourth assessment report) climate model (also known as Coupled Model Intercomparison Program 3, CMIP3) simulation on the performance of the East Asian summer monsoon rainfall and the interdecadal variations of the ring. The results show that in the 19 mode of assessment, the 9 model can reproduce many eastern Chinese average precipitation, but only 3 models (first models) can be better on the East Asian summer monsoon precipitation decadal changes make the simulation, the 3 models are: GFDL-CM2.0, MIROC3.2 (hires) and MIROC3.2 (medres), which has the best performance of the simulation model of GFDL-CM2.0. Further analysis shows that the lack of simulation in most East Asian summer monsoon change is mainly because the dynamical and thermodynamic mechanism of these models did not seize the East Asian summer monsoon precipitation changes, a wide range of the troposphere over East Asia in the cold and dry. While the first mode due to a good representation of vertical velocity fields in East Asia (dynamic factor) and water vapor (thermodynamic factor) change characteristic, therefore simulate China Eastern nalaobeihan characteristics of climate change. The evaluation of this paper clearly shows that when choosing different patterns for the set, the simulation performance of a model to a certain research variable greatly affects the outcome of the set. The results are more close to the actual observations when the simulated performance patterns are combined together. For a particular research variable, this collection is