决策,首先打破过度自信（Decisions, first of all, break overconfidence）.docVIP

决策,首先打破过度自信（Decisions, first of all, break overconfidence） Whether we are portfolio choice, or choose a suitable job; whether we are in the senior management of the enterprise, as well as the general staff of the enterprise; no matter in our life, an important moment, or ordinary life every day, we will face many decisions. It can be said that decision making involves many things, and we need to make decisions in every aspect of our lives. Big to choose what kind of university you choose, what kind of work, choose to work today, wear what clothes, what color tie?. Although the decision is very important in our daily life, a person with good decision-making ability on their life and career success plays a key role, but most of us in fact in decision-making ability is relatively poor. Many people tend to ignore the fact that decision-making is one of the most important abilities in life. By constantly improving and improving our decision-making style, we can greatly enhance our decision-making ability. How the organization of human and scientific decision-making, Nobel laureate Simon in management, organizational behavior and management science new book on decision-making process are discussed. The formation of the system of decision process theory. The theory of corporate behavior in 50s Simons challenge to micro economics simply the pursuit of profit maximization hypothesis of economic man model, emphasizes the complex internal structure in large corporations, the multiplicity of goals and sub goals, put forward rational people with limited rationality, which is based on the satisfactory rather than optimal decision making model. He made a scientific analysis of the decision-making process with the help of the research results of psychology, and summarized his decision-making process theory. Later, Simon turned to the problem of information processing in large organizations. He believes that the information itself and peoples ability to process information have a ce