基于dea的地区销售电价差异合理性及其优化调整研究 research on the relative reasonability of regional tariff difference and its optimal adjustment based on dea.pdfVIP

文章编号：1009-1831（2012 ）04-0007-04 ◆研究与探讨◆ 大用户负荷预测管理系统 蔡剑彪，罗滇生，周小宝，钱松林，周 洁，许甜田 （湖南大学电气与信息工程学院，长沙 410082 ） Load forecasting management system about large consumer CAI Jian⁃biao ，LUO Dian⁃sheng ，ZHOU Xiao⁃bao ，QIAN Song⁃lin ，ZHOU Jie ，XU Tian⁃tian （Hunan University, Changsha 410082 ，China） 摘要：为了提高地区短期负荷预测水平，掌握地区典型大 Abstract：In order to improve the level of short⁃term regional 用户的负荷特点，有必要建立一套系统、全面的地区大用户负 load forecasting, to master the characteristic of regional representa⁃ 荷分析预测管理系统。系统采用成熟的Java2 Enterprise Edi⁃ tive large consumer, it is necessary to establish a systematic and comprehensive regional representative large consumer load analy⁃ tion(J2EE)多层体系Browser/Server(B/S)结构，以负荷特性分析 sis forecasting management system. The system adopts mature Ja⁃ 为基础，精细化的预测流程为核心，考虑与大用户相关的气象 va 2 Enterprise Edition (J2EE) and multi⁃layer system of Browser/ 要素、生产计划、日类型等因素，形成了大用户“分析、预测、管 Server (B/S) structure. It takes load characteristic analysis as a ba⁃ 理”一体化机制。系统给负荷预测部门提供了详细的大用户 sis and the elaborate load forecasting process as a core. Consider⁃ ing the relative factors, such as meteorological element, production 特性报告。将大用户负荷预测结果融入到地区负荷预测中， plan, day type and so on, we bring out large consumer integration 提高了地区预测精度。 mechanism of analysis, forecast and management. Finally, it pro⁃ 关键词：典型大用户；短期负荷预测；气象要素；负荷分析 vides a detailed large consumer characteristic report for load fore⁃ 报告；系统设计 casting department. The result of large consumer load forecasting will be employed in regional load forecasting, which will greatl