攀枝花市自然降水资源变化特征分析.pdfVIP

ofAnhui 责任编辑黄小燕责任校对傅真治 安徽农业科学，Journal A鲥．Sci．2010，38(30)：16986—16987 攀枝花市自然降水资源变化特征分析 陈永琼，李阜樯，杜成勋，彭光辉 (四川省攀枝花市气象局，四川攀枝花617000) 摘要攀枝花地区的自然降水受西南季风水汽和地形再分配作用，时空分布差异明显。笔者利用攀枝花仁和站1965～2009年降水资 料，统计分析了攀枝花年降水、汛期降水和各季节降水的气候变化特征．结果表明，20世纪70年代以来春季、夏季、汛期与年降水量的 降水变化显著一致，目前呈现为增多趋势；秋季呈减少趋势。通过年降水的10年滑动平均可以看出，攀枝花市自然降水资源的年际变 化有其自身的规律性，当前处于一个缓慢下降的态势。 关键词攀枝花；自然降水；变化特征 中图分类号P458．1+21文献标识码A 文章编号0517—661l(2010)30—16986—02 ofVariafion i11 Characteristicsof ResourcesPanzhihua Analysis Precipitation CHEN etai 61 (Panzhihua Bureau，Panzhihua，Sichuan7000) Yong-qiong Meteorological rainfaUin and AbstractMfectedthesouthwestmonsoonwater andthe diffefencesof by vapor topographyredistribution，the spatialtemporal annu- distributionwas inPanzhihua rainfalldata l965—2009inPanzhihua．thevariationcharacteristicsof significant Region．Byusing during al floodseason were resultsshowedthatsince precipitationand precipitation，seasonal precipitationanalyzed．ne floodseasonandtheannual wereremarkable increase reduced precipitationchanges consistency．atpresentshowing tendency，autumnshowing annual thattheannualvariationofrainfall80urcesinPanzhihua w鹊found City tendency．Throughprecipitation10一yearsmovingaverage．it has own its a trend． regular