世经参考5美国农业分析.pptVIP

* 世界农业经济学 参考与欣赏 Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released June 11, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture（USDA）. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.63 billion bushels, up 4 percent from the May 1 forecast and 42 percent above 2002. Based on June 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 44.6 bushels per acre, up 1.7 bushels from the previous forecast. Grain area totals 36.4 million acres, unchanged from May 1. Hard Red production is up 7 percent from a month ago to 1.01 billion bushels. Soft Red is down 1 percent from last month, and now totals 368 million bushels. White production totals 253 million bushels, up 1 percent from last month. The U.S. all orange June 1 forecast for the 2002-03 crop is 11.5 million tons, virtually unchanged from the May 1 forecast but 8 percent below last seasons utilization. Floridas all orange forecast, at 201 million boxes (9.05 million tons), is up 0.5 percent from the previous forecast but 13 percent below last seasons final utilization. If attained, it will be the lowest utilized production since the 186 million boxes of the 1998-99 season. Early and midseason varieties in Florida are forecast at 112 million boxes (5.04 million tons), unchanged from the May 1 forecast but 12 percent less than last season. Harvest of these varieties is complete. Floridas Valencia forecast is 89 million boxes (4.01 million tons), 1 percent above the previous forecast but 13 percent less than last seasons final utilization. Arizona, California, and Texas orange production forecasts are carried forward from April 1. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield is projected at 1.52 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. The early and midseason portion is final at 1.49 gallons per box. The pro