comparison of two statistical models in predicting the outcome of female systemic lupus erythematosus patients in china比较两种统计模型预测的结果在中国女性系统性红斑狼疮病人.pdfVIP

Vol.4, No.9, 579-590 (2012) Health /10.4236/health.2012.49091 Comparison of two statistical models in predicting the outcome of female systemic lupus erythematosus patients in China Jing Wang1,2, Jie Yang1,2, Hai-Feng Pan1,2, Bao-Zhu Li1,2, Yan Zhu1,2, Xiao-Song Wang1,2, Xiang-Pei Li3 4 1,2* , Jian-Hua Xu , Dong-Qing Ye 1Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China; * Corresponding Author: ydq@ 2Anhui Provincial Laboratory of Population Health Major Disease Screening and Diagnosis, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China 3Department of Rheumatology, Anhui Provincial Hospital, Hefei, China 4Division of Rheumatology, The First Ancillary Hospital, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China Received 19 July 2012; revised 16 August 2012; accepted 27 August 2012 ABSTRACT tem autoimmune disease involving both humoral and cellular aspects of the innate and acquired immune sys- Objectives: Comparing two different statistical tems [1]. It occurred worldwide and affected females models to predict female SLE patients’ outcome more commonly than males (about 10:1). The incidence and analyze some related factors. Methods: 1072 and prevalence of SLE varied among racial and ethnic female SLE patients were from the Provincial groups with multisystemic manifestations of mucocuta- Hospital of Anhui Province and The First Ancil- neous, renal, neurology, serositis, etc. [2]. It would lary Hospital of Anhui Medical Un