A global network model of the earth’s health.docVIP

A global network model of the earth’s health Abstract： In this paper， the major objective is to build a global dynamic network model to assess the global health condition .First use the PSR model and Analytic hierarchy process （AHP） to calculate the internal health status of some regions， and then establish a global network model which links each region together to figure out the global health status. Finally， taking the human influence into consideration， the degree of the earths health can be figured out in a more accurate way. Key words： PSR model， AHP， Global network model， Human influence 1. Introduction Environmental and ecological system has been the research focus， which introduces many related disciplines and established many related theories and models. Aldo Leopold （1941） first defines concept of Land Health， and adopts Land Sickness to describe the land dysfunction， which is the earliest introduction of concept of ecosystem health. Woodwell （1970） and Barrett （1976） propose stress ecology which believes that ecosystem cannot be regarded as an organism because it has no autonomic reaction to reverse environment but demonstrates antagonistic characteristics. From the perspective of sustainable capacity of system， Costanza （1992； 1998） puts forward 3 indexes including Vigor， Organization and Resilience， to describe the system state and gives the specific formula. Vilchek （1998） raises a comprehensive model to evaluate ecosystem health according to the stability. The above-mentioned theories methods can to some extent reveal some characteristics of natural environment and ecological system and reflect the change of ecological system， but they neglect the relationship of global complex factors and ecosystems and fail to consider the influence of human on global ecological environment， which means limitations. In this paper， previous research results are combined with the impact of global and human factors， and a more comprehensive network model