人民币汇率目标区（RMB exchange rate target zone）.docVIP

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人民币汇率目标区（RMB exchange rate target zone）.doc

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人民币汇率目标区（RMB exchange rate target zone）

人民币汇率目标区（RMB exchange rate target zone） RMB exchange rate target zone The first chapter is a preface. The first section background The second section of domestic and foreign literature review A study on foreign literature review Two, the domestic research literature review Three, review The third section research ideas, methods and innovation The second chapter overview of the theory of exchange rate target zone The first section of the evolution of the theory of exchange rate target zone The second section analysis of theory of exchange rate target zone in the prediction of foreign exchange The advantages and disadvantages of the third day exchange rate target zone theory The key to determine the third chapter of the RMB exchange rate target zone The first section of the selection of money center The second section (the central rate of RMB equilibrium exchange rate determination) The third section of the RMB exchange rate volatility The fourth section of the central bank intervention The fourth chapter determined the RMB exchange rate target zone The first section interval theory A Cassell model (no flow conditions) Two, Zhijun model (free flow conditions) The lower limit of the range obtained by the first model, get the maximum range by second models To determine the specific interval second The specific interval is obtained in the theoretical section A comparative analysis of the existing models, Two, determine the center Determine the magnitude of three, floating The third day interval specific verification First, a representative of the developed countries, the relevant data and experience Two, developing countries have the relevant data and verify the representative On the basis of referring to developed countries and developing countries, to determine the volatility of the RMB exchange rate target zone, the interval The fifth chapter is the conclusion and policy suggestions Notes Reference A foreign part: Williamson (Williamson, 1985) proposed the exchange ra