从金融统计数据看股市的牛熊交替规律(The change of stock market in the stock market from the perspective of financial statistics).docVIP
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从金融统计数据看股市的牛熊交替规律(The change of stock market in the stock market from the perspective of financial statistics)
从金融统计数据看股市的牛熊交替规律(The change of stock market in the stock market from the perspective of financial statistics)
The change is mainly caused by the flow of funds in the stock market if the ebb and flow of funds into the stock market gradually increased (i.e. capital marginal added value is positive), then the stock market gradually active, stock prices will gradually rise; if the funds into the stock market gradually decreased (i.e. capital marginal increase in value is negative), then stock market will gradually decline, the stock price will gradually fall. Money into the stock market and the banks capital is directly related, therefore, we can see the statistics analysis of bank liquidity into the stock market. According to your observations, summarized through the analysis of financial statistics to determine the experience and methods of the stock market.
A, M1, M2 changes in the data there are a lot of mystery
From the last more than 10 years of history, every time the M1 is lower than that of M2, especially over the gap between the two 5 points, will the stock market bottomed out, a new round of the bull market will be kicked off; M1 M2 5 percentage points higher, the bull market will end, the bear market will come.
For example, in 1994 and 1995, M1 growth rate is slowing down, so that the M1 and M2 gap began to widen, the 1994 and 1995 M2 were faster than M1 7.7 percentage points and 12.8 percentage points. To create the necessary conditions for the bull market after 1996. In 1999 5? 19 market before, M1 and M2 also appeared in such a departure from the trend, the largest gap between 6 percentage points. Some people think that the market is 5? 19 man-made bull market, no reference value. This view is one-sided, if not loose money support, and then a big skill is made out of the bull market.
The current round of market is started by the end of 2005, the author was once wrote, M1 M2 said the dawn of the bull market transaction. From the January 2006 financial sta
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