基于蒙特卡洛模拟的分布式风光蓄发电系统可靠性评价.pdfVIP

第 36 卷 第 4 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 36 No. 4 2012 年 4 月 Power System Technology Apr. 2012 文章编号：1000-3673 （2012 ）04-0039-06 中图分类号：TM 72 文献标志码：A 学科代码：470·4054 基于蒙特卡洛模拟的 分布式风光蓄发电系统可靠性评估 葛少云，王浩鸣，徐栎 （智能电网教育部重点实验室(天津大学) ，天津市 南开区 300072 ） Reliability Evaluation of Distributed Generating System Including Wind Energy, Solar Energy and Battery Storage Using Monte Carlo Simulation GE Shaoyun，WANG Haoming ，XU Li (Key Laboratory of Smart Grid (Tianjin University), Ministry of Education, Nankai District, Tianjin 300072, China) ABSTRACT: In order to consider the impact of battery storage 关键词：蓄电池；发电系统；蒙特卡洛仿真；可靠性评估 on distributed generating system reliability, based on the 0 引言 kinetic model of lead-acid battery, this paper proposed a more accurate Monte Carlo simulation method for the reliability 近十几年来，可再生能源在能源结构中所占的 evaluation of generating system containing distributed wind 比例越来越高，其中风力发电和光伏发电最突出[1] 。 energy, solar energy and battery storage. Firstly, in allusion to 与传统能源的集中式发电不同，风力、光伏等可再 three proposed different charging strategies, a time series state 生能源的特点之一就是能以分布式电源(distributed of charge (Soc) variation model of battery was established with consideration of capacity constraint of external system; then by generation ，DG) 的形式直接渗透到电力系统用户 use of sequential state duration sampling method, the 侧，组成分布式的发电系统，如小型的风能转换系 time-series state of each element in the system was simulated, 统(wind energy conversion system，WECS) 、光能转 and then corresponding reliability indices were calculated. By 换系统(photovoltaic conversion system，PVCS)等。 means of constructing calculation example