二元语义的水资源管理方案多属性递阶群决策.pdfVIP

第36卷第10期 人 民 黄 河 Vol.36，o.10 2014年10月 YELLOW RIVER Oct. ，2014 【水资源】 二元语义的水资源管理方案多属性递阶群决策 李凌湧 （河南省水利厅，河南郑州450003） 摘 要：基于二元语义的水资源管理多属性递阶群决策模型，将水资源管理决策群体分为基层技术组A、中层专家组B 和高层管理组C，提出了二元语义决策评价准则，建立了A、B、C三层决策矩阵的联合矩阵；最后由联合矩阵求出全体专 家的最满意方案。绵阳市水资源合理配置决策分析的实例应用结果表明，该决策模型既能合理集结不同层次决策群体 的信息，又能避免语言评价信息集结和运算中出现的信息损失和扭曲，是一种可行的建模方法。 关 键 词：水资源；多属性决策；群决策；二元语义；递阶决策 中图分类号：TV213.9 文献标志码：A doi：10.3969/ j.issn.1000-1379.2014.10.016 Multi-Attribute Group Decision-Making for Water Resources Management Based on Two-Tuple Linguistic LI Ling-yong （Henan Provincial Water Resources Bureau，Zhengzhou450003，China） Abstract：Water resources management often involvesmany complexfactors，such associal values，economicdevelopment，environmental protec- tion and industry management. Usually，decision-making on water resources system is an uncertain，hierarchical，and multi-attribute group deci- sion-making process. In thispaper，theconversionrelationship betweenthreetypesof weightfunction-whiten andtwo-tuplelinguisticwere studied and water resources management multi-attribute group decision-makingmodel based ontwo-tuplelinguisticwasproposed. Decision groupsof water resources management wereclassifiedintothetechnicalgroupAof basic-level，theexpertsgroup Bof middle-level andthemanagement group Cof high-level. Then it put forward water resources management decision-making criteria based on two-tuple linguistic and established the confederate matrix according to the decision-making matricesA，B and C；finally，it found out all expertsˊmost satisfying scheme by the conjoint matrix. Th