IRT框架下的不可忽略缺失过程建模及Bayes估计研究-统计学专业毕业论文.pdfVIP

Keywords: item Response Theory (IRT), Gibbs Sampling, Non -ignorable Missing Data 目录 第一章 引 言································································1 1.1 背景介绍 ···································································1 1.2 本文主要内容······························································3 第二章 项目反应理论简介 ··················································4 2.1 项目反应理论简介及项目反应模型的分类··························4 2.2 项目反应模型参数参数估计的主要方法·····························5 2.3 MCMC 方法简介··························································6 2.4 本文中使用的主要数学符号············································8 第三章 二级评分模型下不可忽略缺失过程的BAYES 估计···········9 3.1 模型描述及基础知识·····················································9 3.2 缺失过程建模···························································10 3.3 不可忽略IRT 模型的MCMC 估计方法····························11 3.4 模拟研究··································································13 第四章 等级评分模型下不可忽略缺失数据的BAYES 估计·········15 4.1 模型描述及基础知识··················································15 4.2 缺失过程建模···························································16 4.3 不可忽略IRT 模型的MCMC 估计方法···························16 4.4 模拟研究··································································20 结束语···········································································22 参考文献········································································23 致 谢 ·····································································26 个人简历及攻读硕士学位期间已发表论文 ······························25 IRT 框架下的不可忽略缺失过程建模及Bayes 估计研究 第一章 引 言 1.1 背景介绍 心理测量学（psychometrics）是联系心理学、教育学和统计学的重要领域。 心理测量学是指依据一定的心理学理论，运用一定的统计方法，给人的能力、人 格及心理健康等心理特性和行为确定出一种数量化的价值。心理测量是通过科 学、客观、标准的测量手段对人的特定素质进行测量、分析、评价。这里的所谓 素质，是指那些完成特定工作或活动所需要或与之相关的感知、技能、能力、气 质、性格、兴趣、动机等个人特征，他们是以一定的质量和速度完成工作或活动 [1,2]