提高模型预测精度的方法.docVIP

提高GM(1,1)模型预测精度的的两种方法 安强 (西安理工大学 理学院，西安 710054) 摘要：GM(1,1)模型具有一定的适用范围.本文谈到两种增加预测精度的模型：小波—GM(1,1)模型以及改进的GM(1,1)模型。前者用小波变换处理序列后减少序列的随机性，然后用GM(1,1)模型进行预测。后者通过对参数的精确化使得模型更加精确。 关键词：GM(1,1)模型；小波变换 Two methods to improve the GM (1, 1) model of the prediction precision AN Qiang (science institute, xi’an university of technology, xi’an 710054,China) Abstract: GM(1,1) model have it’s own local. This text talk about two model to increase the precision of forecasting: small wave GM(1,1) model and improved GM(1,1) model. The fomer use small wave to reduce the random of the order, then use GM(1,1) model t