地理信息系统技术在水稻产量时空变化研究中的应用-中国水稻科学.pdfVIP

中国水稻科学 ( ) , 2000, 14 (4) : 213～ 218 　　 Ch inese J R ice S ci 213 地理信息系统技术在水稻产量时空变化研究中的应用 黄敬峰　王秀珍　王人潮　(浙江大学 农业遥感与信息技术应用研究所, 浙江 杭州 310029) G IS A pp lication in A nalyzing the T im e and Spatial V ariation of R ice P roduction UAN G , AN G , AN G H J ing feng W X iu zhen W Ren chao (Institu te of A g ricu ltu ral R em ote S ensing and Inf orm ation A pp lication , Z hej iang U niversity , H ang z hou 310029, Ch ina) Abstract: U sing G IS as an analyzing too l, the characteristics , results , and trends of spatial variation of to tal rice p roduc tion in Zhejiang P rovince are analyzed based on the rice p roduction database (on county basis) w ithin three periods ( in 1977, 1987 and 1997) by statistical analyses . The to tal rice p roduction of 87% counties in Zhejiang P rovince has increased abso lutely from 1977 to 1987, but 76% counties has abso lutely decreased from 1987 to 1997. Generally the variation in to tal rice p roduc , . . . tion is determ ined by two m ain facto rs i e rice p lanting area and yield The key driving fo rce of rice to tal p roduction variation w as yield from 1977 to 1987 and rice p lanting area from 1987 to 1997. The rice p roduction in the future w ill be decreased in . 1970’. Zhejiang P rovince The curves of rice p lanting areas are po lynom ial w hich the peak po int is in the m iddle of s The rice 1949 1998. yield and trend yield increase from to The effect of m eteo ro logical elem ents o